It's time for another fantasy baseball forecast for daily fantasy players. The series of daily articles deals with predicting the outcome of major league baseball games to assist with daily fantasy baseball research. We look for an edge by looking at the projections for the day's games that includes high scoring games, winning club and weather including rainout chances. Each day I analyze the schedule of baseball games and attempt to determine the best games to stack players from or stay away from for daily fantasy baseball. Today's daily fantasy projections are for July 29, 2015, and as usual for a Wednesday we have a full schedule of games to pick from today. Today's games include a possible shootout which should provide us with a stimulating day. Some of us love defensive pitching matchups, and we expect a minimum of one of those today. We will scrutinize the details of both of the outlier games shortly. It's time to get started, let's study the outlook for today.
Projected Winners and Losers
Now we will take a look at which teams are predicted to win today. Great Matchups refer to games in which the odds of the projected winning team winning are much higher than we normally see. Average matchups indicate that the projected winning team has a above average chance to win, and coin flips indicate games that are just too close to call with any confidence. Probable pitchers are in parenthesis.
- Chicago Cubs (Jon Lester-LHP) -over- Colorado (Eddie Butler-RHP)
- St. Louis (John Lackey-RHP) -over- Cincinnati (Anthony DeSclafani-RHP)
- Tampa Bay (Chris Archer-RHP) -over- Detroit (Justin Verlander-RHP)
- Cleveland (Corey Kluber-RHP) -over- Kansas City (Jeremy Guthrie-RHP)
- N.Y. Yankees (Masahiro Tanaka-RHP) -over- Texas (Colby Lewis-RHP)
- Seattle (Felix Hernandez-RHP) -over- Arizona (Patrick Corbin-LHP)
- Toronto (R.A. Dickey-RHP) -over- Philadelphia (Jerome Williams-RHP)
- Baltimore (Chris Tillman-RHP) -over- Atlanta (Mike Foltynewicz-RHP)
- L.A. Dodgers (Clayton Kershaw-LHP) -over- Oakland (Jesse Chavez-RHP)
- San Francisco (Jake Peavy-RHP) -over- Milwaukee (Mike Fiers-RHP)
- Boston (Rick Porcello-RHP) -over- Chicago White Sox (Jose Quintana-LHP)
- Pittsburgh (Francisco Liriano-LHP) -over- Minnesota (Ervin Santana-RHP)
- Washington (Doug Fister-RHP) -vs- Miami (Tom Koehler-RHP)
- N.Y. Mets (Bartolo Colon-RHP) -vs- San Diego (Tyson Ross-RHP)
- Houston (Lance McCullers-RHP) -vs- L.A. Angels (Garrett Richards-RHP)
High and Low Scoring Games
High scoring games are games in which the matchups indicate that a lot of runs could be scored. These games can be ideal for stacking daily fantasy players on the same MLB team. In larger tournaments, playing many players from the same team can increase the chances that they all have a big day together leading to a higher daily fantasy team score.
- Philadelphia -vs- Toronto (7:05 PM)
- Detroit -vs- Tampa Bay (12:10 PM)
- Arizona -vs- Seattle (3:40 PM)
- Oakland -vs- L.A. Dodgers (10:10 PM)
Pitchers to Target or Avoid
It is important to consider that these pitching recommendations provide best results when used over large sample periods. These picks simply represent the pitchers who have the best chances of having a good fantasy day compared to other available options.
Pitchers to Target
We have a wealth of pitchers with excellent matchups today. Chris Archer, Felix Hernandez and Clayton Kershaw all have excellent matchups and should be considered must-start options for DFS. These starters are predicted to be very good options today: Jon Lester, John Lackey, Corey Kluber, Masahiro Tanaka and Chris Tillman.
Pitchers to Avoid
Jerome Williams has a very bad matchup today that should certainly be avoided. The following starting pitchers are predicted to be poor options today: Eddie Butler, Anthony DeSclafani, Jeremy Guthrie, Colby Lewis and Mike Foltynewicz. These recommendations will be incorrect from time to time, but over the long run these pitchers have a lower chance of success than the pitchers we recommend targeting based on our metrics.
Your players can't score fantasy points if the game is postponed, so it may be best to avoid players from these games: