Daily Fantasy Baseball Forecast for Saturday, August 01, 2015

Good morning, daily fantasy fantasy baseball players and baseball fans. It's another great day for baseball! Here are today's expectations for daily fantasy baseball. The saying is partially true - you can't predict baseball... However we can predict with accuracy over the long run which are most likely to be high and low scoring games, potential rain-outs, pitching suggestions (start and avoid), and other info that can give us an edge over our daily fantasy competition. Each day I examine the schedule of baseball games and strive to determine the best games to stack players from or avoid for daily fantasy baseball. Today's daily fantasy predictions are for August 01, 2015, and as usual for a Saturday we all 30 teams are in action. It should be an exciting day as players from many teams are expected to be a good choice for daily fantasy offence. Some of us love defensive pitching matchups, and we expect at worst one of those today. We will examine the finer points of both of the outlier games shortly. Let's get started with the daily fantasy outlook for the day.

 

Projected Winners and Losers

Now we will scrutinize which teams are predicted to win today. Great Matchups describe games in which the odds of the favored team winning are relatively high compared to the average game. Average matchups refer to games that the favored team has a pretty good chance to win, and coin flips indicate games that are just too close to call with any confidence. Probable pitchers are listed in parenthesis.

Great Matchups

  • Pittsburgh (Gerrit Cole-RHP) -over- Cincinnati (Raisel Iglesias-RHP)
  • N.Y. Mets (Jacob deGrom-RHP) -over- Washington (Joe Ross-RHP)
  • St. Louis (Lance Lynn-RHP) -over- Colorado (Jorge De La Rosa-LHP)
  • Baltimore (Kevin Gausman-RHP) -over- Detroit (Anibal Sanchez-RHP)
  • L.A. Dodgers (Clayton Kershaw-LHP) -over- L.A. Angels (Andrew Heaney-LHP)
  • Houston (Dallas Keuchel-LHP) -over- Arizona (Jeremy Hellickson-RHP)

Average Matchups

  • Philadelphia (Aaron Nola-RHP) -over- Atlanta (Matt Wisler-RHP)
  • Chicago Cubs (Kyle Hendricks-RHP) -over- Milwaukee (Matt Garza-RHP)
  • Toronto (Mark Buehrle-LHP) -over- Kansas City (Yordano Ventura-RHP)
  • Boston (Joe Kelly-RHP) -over- Tampa Bay (Matt Moore-LHP)
  • Minnesota (Kyle Gibson-RHP) -over- Seattle (Mike Montgomery-LHP)
  • Texas (Cole Hamels-LHP) -over- San Francisco (Chris Heston-RHP)

Coin Flips (50/50 Matchups)

  • Miami (Jose Urena-RHP) -vs- San Diego (Odrisamer Despaigne-RHP)
  • Chicago White Sox (John Danks-LHP) -vs- N.Y. Yankees (Bryan Mitchell-RHP)
  • Cleveland (Cody Anderson-RHP) -vs- Oakland (Aaron Brooks-RHP)

High and Low Scoring Games

High scoring games are games in which the matchups indicate that a lot of runs could be scored. These games can be ideal for stacking daily fantasy players on the same MLB team. In larger tournaments, playing many players from the same team can increase the chances that they all have a big day together leading to a higher daily fantasy team score.

High Scoring Games

  • Tampa Bay -vs- Boston (1:35 PM)
  • N.Y. Yankees -vs- Chicago White Sox (7:10 PM)

Pitcher's Duels (Low Scoring Games)

  • Washington -vs- N.Y. Mets (7:10 PM)
  • L.A. Angels -vs- L.A. Dodgers (4:05 PM)

 

Pitchers to Target or Avoid

It is important to consider that these pitching recommendations provide best results when used over large sample periods. These picks simply represent the pitchers who have the best chances of having a very good fantasy day compared to other available options.

Pitchers to Target

Both Clayton Kershaw and Jacob deGrom have excellent matchups today and should be started in all formats. We expect these starters to be pretty good options today: Gerrit Cole, Lance Lynn, Kevin Gausman and Dallas Keuchel.

Pitchers to Avoid

The following starting pitchers are anticipated to be poor options today: Matt Moore and Joe Kelly. Other pitchers who are not expected to succeed today due to unfavorable matchups include: Bryan Mitchell, John Danks, Raisel Iglesias, Jorge De La Rosa, Anibal Sanchez and Jeremy Hellickson. These recommendations will be incorrect from time to time, but over the long run these pitchers have a lower chance of success than the pitchers we recommend targeting based on our metrics.

Weather

Players who get rained out can't score points, so it is nearly always best to avoid players from games in which there is a high chance of rain: Seattle at Minnesota (40% chance of rain).

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